When it comes to investing, it’s best not to trust your memory, according to a new study co-authored by Philip Fernbach, professor of marketing in the Leeds School of Business at the University of ...

In their new book, three acclaimed researchers share what happens when you study the calibration of confidence levels among different professions in which predictions are integral to the work. With ...

Confidence is crucial. It inspires audacious acts, elevates teams and spurs businesses to grow. But too much of it? That’s trouble. Overconfidence can tamper with decisions and bury risks in plain ...

Optimism is the opposite of pessimism, and the upsides and downsides of each are very different. Healthy optimism is associated with superior physical and mental health outcomes and stronger and more ...

One of the most widely documented biases in the social sciences is the fact that individuals typically overestimate their own abilities. For instance, people believe they are more attractive, smarter, ...