Russia’s wartime economy is showing severe signs of strain, teetering on the brink of recession as it grapples with a ...

The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

The expected positive forces of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and future interest rate cuts should soon outweigh the ...

Inflation, which had fallen to 2.5% in 2024 from 6.6% in 2022, is expected to rise again as tariffs push up goods prices and ...

Financial markets—specifically derivatives—contain information about the range of probable future short-term interest rates.

For the moment, businesses, households and financial markets are locked in an elaborate game of wait-and-see. Companies ...

Labor market, consumer spending, and revised GDP data show the economy is facing serious headwinds.

But it would be a worse economic prognosis than a recession, a long-lasting shock to the system, especially as the government lacks effective policy prescriptions to control it.

Key Takeaways Mortgage rates usually drop in a recession, but by exactly how much depends on the circumstances of the economic downturn. Although interest rates on mortgages may trend lower in a ...

The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter, but it takes more than one bad quarter of GDP for a recession to officially begin.

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as a “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Three ...

The poll showed that, on average, the forecasters predicted a 45% chance of the economy going into a recession in the next 12 months, up from 20% the last time the poll was taken in January.