The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

From stock market volatility to July 2024's concerning U.S. jobs report, fear surrounding the possibility of an economic recession is up ... it's important to also remember that a recession doesn't ...

The expected positive forces of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and future interest rate cuts should soon outweigh the ...

For the moment, businesses, households and financial markets are locked in an elaborate game of wait-and-see. Companies ...

Labor market, consumer spending, and revised GDP data show the economy is facing serious headwinds.

But it would be a worse economic prognosis than a recession, a long-lasting shock to the system, especially as the government lacks effective policy prescriptions to control it.

Key Takeaways Mortgage rates usually drop in a recession, but by exactly how much depends on the circumstances of the economic downturn. Although interest rates on mortgages may trend lower in a ...

The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter, but it takes more than one bad quarter of GDP for a recession to officially begin.

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as a “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Three ...

Economic forecasts turned ominous in recent days, a reaction to the Trump administration’s tariffs and the stock market sell-off. JPMorgan estimated the chance of a recession at 60 percent in a report ...

Here's one definition offered by the NBER: "A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real [i.e ...

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as a “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Three ...