The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

Mind the ever-present risks: Of course, we should not get complacent. There will always be risks to worry about, such as U.S.

This includes the Great Recession of 2008–2009 and the COVID-19 recession of 2020. But it has had only one depression, which lasted from 1929 until 1941 and is known as the Great Depression. Key ...

For the moment, businesses, households and financial markets are locked in an elaborate game of wait-and-see. Companies ...

Early 1990s recession (July 1990 to March 1991): A combination of consumer pessimism, rising debt levels, and an oil price jolt to the economy in 1990 led to a recession after a boom in the 1980s.

Certified financial planners and other wealth management executives share the steps you need to take in the event of an ...

Even if the economy keeps growing this year, that doesn’t mean the road ahead will be smooth. The regressive nature of tariffs is likely to leave lower-income households feeling squeezed.

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as a “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Three ...

The first half of 2025 was tumultuous with long-standing agencies such as U.S. Agency for International Development and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau shuttered or significantly scaled ...

During an economic downturn, mortgage rates tend to decrease for a few reasons. Market uncertainty can cause investors to seek the stability of government bonds, driving up bond prices and ...

Consumer attitudes toward the economy improved after a five-month drop, but could still point toward a recession ahead.